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October 6th, 2006

Red River Rivalry Renewed

The Red River Rivalry will be renewed this weekend when the Texas Longhorns invade the Oklahoma Sooners.

The Longhorns finally broke the Sooners’ curse last season with a 45-12 blowout win over Oklahoma as a 14-point favorite. Prior to that win, Texas had not beaten Oklahoma since 1999, posting five straight losses over that span.

Texas has won three straight heading into the weekend and they should be confident coming off a 56-3 drubbing of Sam Houston State. Freshman quarterback Colt McCoy has handled the pressure well so far, completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 846 yards with 10 touchdowns and only two interceptions.

McCoy has developed a strong report with receiver Limas Sweed, who has caught 19 passes for 340 yards and five touchdowns. The Texas running game has been by committee so far this season, but all three running backs have been strong. Jamaal Charles, Selvin Young and Henry Melton have combined to rush for 747 yards on 132 carries with 11 touchdowns. Young is expected back this week after sitting out versus Sam Houston State with bruised ribs. Charles dressed last week but did not play after feeling sore in pre-grame warmups. He’s also expected to be ready to go on Saturday.

The Sooners boast a pretty good rushing attack as well, led by Heisman candidate Adrian Peterson. Peterson has burned every defense that has tried to stop him this season while rushing for 643 yards and seven touchdowns on 117 carries. Peterson is averaging 160.8 rushing yards per game and if history means anything he will need a big game on Saturday for Oklahoma to win. Peterson only carried the ball three times due to a sprained ankle in Oklahoma’s loss to Texas last season, but back in 2004 he rushed for 225 yards on 32 carries in Oklahoma’s 12-0 win over the Longhorns. Paul Thompson may not have been the Sooners’ first choice at quarterback this season, but so far he’s performed admirably. Thompson has completed 62.2 percent of his passes for 930 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions.

The Longhorns are a 4-point home favorite in the rematch, while the total was set at 49.

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October 6th, 2006

DETROIT +145 (ROGERS) VS. NEW YORK (JOHNSON) 8:05 ET

The Tigers put forth a game effort yesterday afternoon in the Bronx to even up this series at one game apiece. Now they get to go back home with home field advantage in their back pocket. It’s up to them to use it to their advantage, and I foresee these next two games in Motown being all out wars. Kenny Rogers flat out loved pitching in Comerica this season. He went 7-3 overall and sported a solid 3.26 ERA. The Tigers won 12 of the 16 games he started at home. Randy Johnson has been having problems with his back, and I foresee that playing a major role in his effectiveness this evening. His effectiveness wavered to close out the year anyway (7.64 ERA & 24 hits in 17 innings of work L/3), and a bad back will only make maters worse for him and the Yanks. That’s exactly what I’m expecting, and I also love the fact that the Tigers went 33-20 against southpaws this season. Detroit was only a dog this size three times this year, and they went 2-1 overall. This was the best team in baseball at one point this year, and Comerica will be unlike anything the Yanks have experienced in quite some time (Remember the rally monkey?). Look for them to feed off the enthusiasm of their crowd and crash as nice sized dawgs for the second day in a row.

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October 6th, 2006

MINNESOTA/OAKLAND OVER 9 +105 (RADKE/HAREN) 4:05 ET

A factor that has me siding with the ‘Over’ is the fact that HP Ump Mike Everitt had a very small strike zone this season, and saw his games average 11+ runs on the year. The ‘Over’ was a perfect 4-0 this year when the posted ‘total’ fell on 9 runs. The Twins bats have been silent this entire series when it’s mattered most, but I foresee that changing this afternoon in this crucial Game 3 match-up with the A’s. Danny Haren really floundered to close out the season, and his ERA paid a stiff price for it. He’s 0-2 with a bloated 8.10 Era his L/3 starts, and he’s given up 24 hits (5 HR’s)in only 16 innings of work during that stretch. Haren’s wildness just might be the cure to what’s been ailing the Twins bats the first two games of this series. Look for both offenses to flourish as the ‘Over’ cashes for the first time in this series.

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October 6th, 2006

MID TENN STATE (+30) VS. LOUISVILLE 8:00 ET

I’m not exactly sure why this game is being played, but it is CFB, and many will be tuning in to get their final weeknight college football fix. The Louisville Cardinals come into this one off their “BYE” week, and have been a decent proposition in this spot covering the number 9 of the L/14 times. That being said, the Blue Raiders look to be the cream of the crop in the SBC, and I think they’ll do their conference proud and hang within the lofty amount of points they’re getting this evening. They’re coming off a shutout of SBC rival North Texas last week, and should come into this one confident about their showing. That being said, Louisville has the talent on hand to literally run circles around this squad, but I highly doubt HC Petrino will put any of his studs in harms way once they build up a big enough lead. This isn’t Kentucky he’s playing, so I don’t see him running the score up just to be a **ick like earlier this year against the Wildcats. He also doesn’t want any of his starters to injure themselves in this scrimmage. Look for MTSU to compete with the 2nd and 3rd stringers, and stay within 4 tuddies of the cards.

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