While the points look attractive in this heated in-state rivalry, don’t fall for the trap that so many have already (line down from 17.5). MSU is a ticking time bomb, and it won’t take much for them to simply give up once the game starts to get away from them. They’ve got a lame duck coach leading them, and an injured field general going up against a nasty defense. Not a recipe for success; especially in “The Big House”!!!! The home squad has been a money burner in this series the L/3 years (0-3 ATS), but I believe that streak comes to an end this afternoon. Michigan State’s club is in complete disarray, and I don’t believe they’ll have the mindset that will allow them to believe they can compete in this game. The Wolverines needed OT to defeat them the L/2 seasons, but the circumstances surrounding those two games were much different. Sparty had yet to see its season crumble in a downward spiral, and still had Big 10 Championship aspirations when they took the field both times. That’s just simply not the case this time around. They suffered a gut-wrenching defeat two weeks ago at the hands of the Irish, and then followed it up with a Homecoming loss to Illinois last week. The Illini hadn’t won a Big 10 road game in almost 2 year’s, and they were 20+ point home chalks!!! Their psyche is bruised and battered heading into this game, and this is quite simply one of the best wolverine outfits Ann Arbor has had in years. On top of that, RB Javon Ringer is done for the season, QB Stanton has bruised ribs and is one solid shot away from missing a couple weeks, and the Spartans O-Line has suffered a number of injuries. Not a good thing when going against this wolverine stop unit that’s completely shut down opposing rushing attacks and has shown no mercy.

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