USF is 6-3 this year after last Saturday’s 22-12 home win over Pitt, giving USF a 4-1 home mark this year (its lone loss coming to unbeaten Rutgers, 22-20, on a failed two-point conversion). QB Matt Grothe is the team’s offensive star, leading a balanced offense that averages 159.4 YPG rushing (4.3 YPC) and 201.9 YPG passing. He’s not only completing 63.5% of his passes but he’s also the team’s leading rusher with 533 YR (4.3 YPC / eight TDs). USF’s defense is excellent, allowing just 17 PPG (26th in the nation). That bodes well against Syracuse, as the Orangemen are 0-4 in Big East play this year, averaging just 11 PPG. Syracuse is way better than LY’s 1-10 team at 3-6 and an impressive 7-2 ATS, but the matchup is not good for them here. Syracuse can’t run the ball (102.4 YPG and 3.0 YPC), meaning QB Perry Patterson will have to throw. While Patterson is greatly improved this year, the USF pass D ranks seventh in the nation in pass efficiency, allowing just 51.6% completions with five TDs and 12 INTs. This is USF’s final home game of 2006 and the team has won EIGHT of its last 10 home games going back to the start of 2005.

Lay the points with South Florida!!

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