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December 18th, 2006

Bengals Meet the Colts

The Colts have dropped one game behind the San Diego Chargers in the race for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Heading in the opposite direction are the Bengals, proud owners of a 4-0 record both straight up and against the spread  during the past four weeks.

Credit the turnaround to a Cincinnati defense that has allowed a microscopic 8.2 PPG over that four-game span. In addition, the Bengals have yielded just 17 points in their last three outings.

It’s not a surprise that the Colts are a pathetic 1-4 ATS in the last five games with a defense that is allowing 26.5 PPG during that span.

Cincinnati cornerback Deltha O’Neal, who was inactive last week following a driving arrest, is listed as “questionable” this week. The Bengals will need his help to slow the aerial combination of Peyton Manning to Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne. The trio leads an offense that is averaging 381.4 YPG.

Indianapolis safety Bob Sanders is once again listed as “questionable,” while both Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes are expected to play.

All eyes will be on Bengals running back Rudi Johnson this week after the Jacksonville Jaguars exploited the Indy defense for 375 rushing yards in its previous game. Rudi’s 30 carries last week versus Oakland were a season high.

If Johnson is successful, expect Carson Palmer to have great success finding Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chris Henry. The Bengals have averaged 24.3 PPG overall this season and 28.4 PPG in their last five contests.

Not surprisingly, the ‘total’ for this game has sky-rocketed from 51 to 54 ½. The ‘over’ has cashed during the two previous meetings between these clubs, with Indy winning both games and going 1-1 ATS.

Manning got the best of Palmer during the Colts’ 45-37 win at Cincinnati in November 2005. Manning threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns, while Palmer passed for 335 yards and two scores with an interception.

The game featured 943 yards, with 492 accumulated by the Bengals and 451 by the Colts.

Manning was nearly flawless on Indianapolis’ first five possessions, which all resulted in touchdowns. He compled 16-of-20 passes for 272 yards and three scores as the Colts built a 35-17 lead.

Indianapolis has a stellar 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS home record this season, while the Bengals have been an impressive 4-2 both SU and ATS on the road. Cincinnati has been outscored on the road in the first quarter by an average of three points, but has responded to outscore the opposition by an astonishing 22.6 points the remainder of the game.

This has ignited the Bengals to a 13.6 margin of victory, while the Colts have won by an average of 8.4 PPG. The Colts have averaged 29.3 PPG at home, while the Bengals have allowed just 16.3 PPG on the road.

New England is the lone opponent these teams have in common. Indy traveled to Foxboro Stadium and defeated New England by seven points. Cincinnati played the worst game of its season, losing at home to the Patriots by 25 points.

Cincinnati has three tough games to end the season. After Indy, the club faces Denver on the road before returning home versus Pittsburgh. The Colts finish the season at Houston and then return home against Miami.

 

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December 11th, 2006

Chicago en St. Louis

Lovie Smith parece estar encaprichado con Rex Grossman.Smith, entrenador de los Bears, mantendrá a Grossman como mariscal titular cuando Chicago visite a los St. Louis Rams hoy lunes por la noche.

A pesar de que los Bears tienen el mejor registro de la NFC, el rendimiento de Grossman genera preocupación, luego de regalar 14 intercepciones en los últimos siete partidos.

Grossman llegó a su punto más bajo en la victoria del domingo ante Minnesota por 23-13, acumulando un índice de 1.3 tras completar sólo 6 de 19 pases para 34 yardas y tres intercepciones.

“No vamos a cambiar nada. Fue un mal partido para todos nosotros y para Rex”, dijo Smith.

Grossman espera encontrar una respuesta a sus problemas.

“Estoy pensando demasiado, tratando de analizar cada cosa en detalle y haciendo todo más difícil de lo que realmente es”, dijo Grossman, quien lanzó 10 pases para touchdowns y sólo tres intercepciones en sus primeros cinco partidos de la temporada.

Si Grossman no levanta su nivel, Smith podría reemplazarlo con el veterano Brian Griese, quien acumula 72 partidos como titular en su carrera.

Este cotejo marcará además el regreso de Smith a St. Louis, donde fue coordinador defensivo durante dos temporadas, antes de asumir como entrenador en Chicago en el 2004.

Mientras Grossman y la ofensiva han sido inconsistentes, no ha habido ningún tipo de problemas del otro lado del campo. La defensiva de Chicago está primera en la NFL en puntos en contra, permitiendo sólo 12.5 por juego.

En la victoria sobre Minnesota, los Bears interceptaron cuatro veces a Brad Johnson, y una de esos anticipos fue devuelto 54 yardas para touchdown por el esquinero Ricky Manning Jr. El novato Devin Hester además regresó una patada de despeje 45 yardas para anotación.

Smith podría optar por darles el balón a sus corredores, Thomas Jones y Cedric Benson, ante los Rams, cuya defensiva está ranqueada Nº 31 contra la corrida. St. Louis ha permitido corredores con más de 100 yardas en seis de los últimos siete partidos.

Los problemas defensivos han sido una de las grandes razones por las que los Rams han perdido seis de los últimos siete juegos, tras comenzar la temporada con una marca de 4-1 en la primera campaña de Scott Linehan como entrenador en jefe.

El domingo pasado, Marc Bulger completó 27 de 45 pases para 314 yardas y dos touchdowns con tres intercepciones, en la derrota por 34-20 ante Arizona.

Bulger mostró su frustración con el reciente nivel de los Rams.

“Hay más de una persona en este vestidor a la que ya no le interesa que perdamos, o piensa que está bien cometer errores”, dijo Bulger. “Cuando nos vemos avergonzados y tú piensas que las cosas están bien y sigues cometiendo los mismos errores, las cosas no están bien”.

St. Louis ha ganado sus últimos cinco partidos en lunes por la noche en el Edward Jones Dome, incluyendo un triunfo por 21-16 ante Chicago el 18 de noviembre de 2002. Los Rams han ganado sus últimos cuatro cotejos ante los Bears.

Información de AP fue utilizada en esta nota.

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December 6th, 2006

Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Tonight the pick is Cleveland over Toronto. Cavs are returning to the ‘Q’ with revenge on their minds after their loss earlier this year against the Raptors. With Cleveland in off an 18-point loss and Toronto off an upset win, look for the Cavs to improve to 12-4-1 ATS in this series. 

Take the Cavs!!

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December 6th, 2006

COLLEGE FOOTBALLS TOP 10

LAST HOME GAME RECORDS As unbelievable as it seems we’ve entered into the final stretch of the 2006 college football season and with it comes the start of LHGs. No less than eight teams will be playing LHGs this week.Lets take a look this week’s TOP 10 College Football teams and their ATS record in Last Home Games. For your reading pleasure I have captured below the current BEST and WORST MRT. Keep this list handy and enjoy…

BEST LHG ATS
13-0 MICHIGAN ST
10-1 TEXAS
8-1 FLORIDA ST
7-1 WISCONSIN
6-0 TENNESSEE
5-0 OREGON ST
6-0 TOLEDO
11-1 IOWA
14-2 TEXAS TECH
7-1 USC
7-1 VIRGINIA

WORST LHG ATS
0-10 ARIZONA
0-5 ARMY
1-10 MEMPHIS
1-9 AUBURN
2-11 S. CAROLINA
3-15 MISS. ST
1-5-1 BAYLOR
2-9 N. CAROLINA
2-8 SMU
4-12 INDIANA

 

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December 5th, 2006

Wright State Raiders vs Bradley Braves

Here’s another short but sweet play for you; Wright State +11. This play on underdogs of 10 points or more after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game with two or more starters returning from last season is 36-12 ATS the past nine seasons. In fact, Wright State is returning with 4 starters and Bradley with 2. Experience keeps this one within the number, especially when the number has no business being in double digits. Take Wright State +11 and run for the hills!!

 

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December 5th, 2006

Texas A&M Aggies vs Louisiana State U Tigers

Tonight in college hoops the pick is defintley Texas A&M +2.5 The Aggies are looking good catching points here. First of all, they should be well rested and that usually means covering the spread. A&M is 9-2 STA in road games when playing only its 2nd game in a week the last 2 seasons. The Aggies are also 8-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive OVERS the last 3 seasons and 11-3 ATS after allowing 65 points or less in 3 straight games the past 2 seasons. Ill let the numbers speak for themselves. Take A&M and the points!

 

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December 5th, 2006

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Tonight the pick is Golden State Warriors. Yes, the Warriors who lost by 40 at San Antone last night. But NBA teams off a 40 point loss are super when matched up against a foe that’s NOT off back to back wins. This teams is 44-20 ATS since 1990. This time we keeep it short and simple…Take Golden State!!

 

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