It’s Monday again, and since we had a good game last week between New England and Baltimore, it’s safe to say this will be of the snoozer variety like so many have this season on Monday night. The NFC South battle finds the (5-7) New Orleans Saints taking on the (3-9) Atlanta Falcons in a match-up that looked much better on paper before the season actually started.

New Orleans has been a major disappointment this season. It all started back on September 6th when they opened up their 2007-08 season at Indianapolis with a deflating loss at the hands of the defending champs. They then went on to lose their next three games before picking up their first win of the season at Seattle in mid October. They rattled off three more wins after that, but then inexplicably dropped back-to-back games to St. Louis and Houston. The Saints found themselves with an excellent opportunity to get back into the NFC South race last week when they hosted the division leading Tampa bay Buccaneers. The Saints held a one-point lead at the half, but then got outscored by five in the second half en route to the 27-23 home loss. RB Reggie Bush suffered ligament damage in his knee that could keep him out for the rest of the season.

As for Atlanta, this season started off on the wrong foot when former QB Michael Vick got nailed in a dog fighting scandal. This immediately put new HC Bobby Petrino’s offense behind the proverbial 8-ball, and the team has suffered on a weekly basis. The Falcons come into this game losers of three in a row, and six of their last eight overall. Inconsistency at the QB position has seen their offense only muster 14 PPG, and that number has dropped to 12 PPG over the L/3 weeks.

I’m expecting this to be a low scoring game much like these clubs first match-up of the year when the Saints won by a 22-16 final count in New Orleans. The ‘Under’ is 6-2 ATS the L/8 meetings, while the ‘Under’ has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS the L/4 times the Falcons were installed as underdogs between 3.5-10 points. It’s also cashed 8 of the L/10 times the Falcons played within their division. As for the Saints, the ‘Under’ is 3-2 ATS off a SU loss this season, but a solid 10-3 ATS after allowing their opponent to rip them apart through the air (250+) the week before.

With QB Chris Redman leading the Falcons attack and the Saints without another key cog on offense (RB Bush), I expect to see a lot more FG’s than TDs in this spot, so hit the lowside of the ‘Total’ for another Monday Night Football winner!!!

For Monday Night Football the bet is on New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons u 43.5 !!

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