February 3, 2008
University of Phoenix Stadium
Glendale, AZ
6:17 PM ET on FOX

The line for this game started extremely high. This is due to two reasons, the Patriots are very strong team and second the oddsmakers know that the “average Joe” bettor will be betting on the New England Patriots. This line should actually be New England -10 but was inflated by about 4 points at opening.

Yes, the Patriots are good, but don’t forget the Giants played them well in the Meadowlands and the Giants have been playing very well away from home. New England QB, Tom Brady, is also very questionable lately with his lower leg injury. The Giants will also be coming in with a ton of confidence after their NFC Championship win in the snowy confines of Lambeau field.

Don’t forget that the Patriots have not been blowing out opponents in the second half of the season like they were in the first. They might be 18-0, but they haven’t been destroying anybody.

The Patriots have been to 3 of the last 6 Super Bowls, and have won none of these by a larger margin than three points. I see the Patriots walking away as Super Bowl champs but I doubt they will cover the spread.

For Super Bowl Sunday February 3, 2008 the bet is on the NY GIANTS +14 !! Take as many points as you can get and run !!

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January 28, 2008
EnergySolutions Arena, Salt Lake City, UT
9:00 PM ET on NBA TV

The Jazz are a fantastic 18-3 at home this season while winning by an impressive average of +12.8 points per game. They are a sparkling 22-8-1 against the spread in their last 31 contests going back to last season. They have also won four straight and seven of their last nine and they have won eight straight at home.

The Spurs appeared to be in a spot to assert themselves on Saturday, as they figured to make a statement vs. a New Orleans Hornets team that owns the best record in the Western Conference. Instead, San Antonio scored a grand total of only 51 points over the last three quarters of a 102-78 blowout loss, the worst home loss of Tim Duncan’s career. They must now go on a long road trip as the rodeo comes to the Alamo Dome, and the Spurs have a losing 8-9 record away from home this season while going 6-11 against the spread.

I feel the home team will dominate yet another game and cover the spread by far!! This is a small price to pay for a team with the records that the Utah Jazz are boasting for this season.

This Monday night the bet is on the Utah Jazz -2 !!

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It seems fitting that Sylvia is again on a card with Mir. It seems fairly likely that the result will be the same as last time, a loss. This match is for the interim heavyweight championship, and Sylvia, the Maine-iac, has the chance to become the second man to win the title three different times. In order to do so he will have to get past Nogueira, who is making his second UFC appearance, but is viewed by many to be perhaps the second best heavyweight in the world. The Brazilian is a Jiu-Jitsu specialist who ruthlessly pursues the submission. Both fighters have only three losses in their careers, but the man from Brazil has faced and beaten better competition, is a more intimidating fighter. Sylvia will put up a good fight, but as much I see Nogueira coming out on top.

Click Here for the latest UFC 81 fight odds and updates…

Taking place on Saturday, Feb. 2, UFC 81, which has been dubbed “Breaking Point,” will be an excellent warm up for the Super Bowl the following day.

The much-anticipated UFC debut of former WWE champion Brock Lesnar is finally here. It may not be the best card we see that night, but it is the one that will be most talked about leading up to the big day.

Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir - The biggest question about Lesnar is whether he can actually make the transition to MMA. He has fought just once, and it was for K1 against a late fill-in after his original opponent had to pull out because of an injury. He won in less than two minutes, but that proved nothing.

There is one thing that we can be sure of with Lesnar - he is a ridiculously good athlete. When he made his ill-advised bid to make the Minnesota Vikings after leaving the WWE in 2004 he put up some incredible performance stats for a guy his size - a 4.7 second 40-yard dash, a 35-inch vertical leap, and a 10-foot standing broad jump. His performances in the wrestling ring were consistently athletic beyond what is typical of heavyweights, and he was the 2000 NCAA heavyweight wrestling champion. In other words, his fighting skills might be questionable, but his athletic skills aren’t. It’s that that makes this debut so highly anticipated.

Lesnar doesn’t have a good track record for sticking with anything for the long term. He left the WWE when he was at the top after just three years in the organization. He said at that time that his dream was to play in the NFL, but he was undisciplined in training camp, skipped practices without permission when he was injured, and he refused an assignment to NFL Europe when the team said his skills needed improvement. If Lesnar truly wants to be a great MMA fighterhe can do it.

When it comes to a first opponent in the UFC, Lesnar certainly could have made it easier for himself. Frank Mir not only won the vacant UFC heavyweight title by beating Tim Sylvia, but he broke Sylvia’s arm with a vicious armbar in the process. We never got to see what he could do as champion, though, because a motorcycle accident cost him to miss 14 months of action and lose his title. He hasn’t been quite the same fighter since his return, with just two wins in four fights. On the plus side, he is a submission specialist that could cause a lot of trouble for Lesnar if he can get a hold of the wrestler. On the other hand, Mir has struggled with stamina, so he won’t likely be able to keep up with Lesnar if the match goes long.

I believe that the superior athleticism, size and power of Lesnar will come out on top.

Click Here for the latest UFC 81 fight odds and updates…

Tue Jan 22 ‘08 7:00p

The Toledo Rockets have been a bad road team in recent years, but the Eastern Michigan Eagles are weak favorites, and this is a rare road site where Toledo has actually had some success.

The Rockets may be just 5-11 straight up including 0-10 on the road, but they are a more respectable 7-7 against the spread overall and 4-5 ATS on the road. More importantly, Toledo has a six-game winning streak in the head-to-head series with EMU, with two of those wins coming in this building. The Rockets won rather handily 66-56 here last season.

Eastern Michigan is just 6-10 overall including 3-3 at home, making them vulnerable giving this many points. They are outscoring their home opponents by a scant +1.5 points per game, not nearly enough to cover this spot, and they have been very erratic offensively while shooting just 41.4 percent from the field.

The bottom line here is as bad as Toledo has been on the road, we simply do not trust Eastern Michigan as a favorite and we would not be shocked if the Rockets post there first road win of the year tonight.

Bet on Toledo+5.5…

January 20, 2008
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
3:00 PM ET on CBS

After Saturday’s 31-20 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars in the divisional title game, Tom Brady and team are headed to the AFC conference championship for the fifth time in seven seasons.

Brady set another individual record in his last game, throwing 26 completions in 28 attempts an NFL record 92.9 percent for regular-season and playoff games. He also threw three touchdown passes and racked up 262 yards, which may be bad news for Patriots fans considering New England is 0-5 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.But despite New England’s dominance on both sides of the ball, New England has dropped the cash in six of their last seven games, including last week’s playoff contest.

San Diego earned the right to play the Patriots by knocking off the Colts 28-24 Sunday at the RCA Dome as the double-digit underdogs. Despite having LaDainaian Tomlinson and Philip Rivers on the sideline, it was the Chargers eighth consecutive straight up win. They have managed to cover the spread in every game during the win streak. The Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.The Patriots beat the Chargers as the 3½–point favorites at home in Week 2, as Brady threw for 279 yards (25-of-31) and three touchdowns as New England reamed San Diego 38-14.

The over has cashed in the last four Patriots/Chargers games. New England has covered the spread in five of the last seven games between the two.This should be high-scoring game with the Patriots and Chargers playing for rights to appear in Super Bowl XLII.

The bet is on San Diego Chargers vs New England Patriots over 49 in this game!!

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January 20, 2008
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
6:30 PM ET on FOX

This Sunday the New York Giants are headed to cold Green Bay where they are set to face the Packers. It looks like it will be under 10 degrees on Sunday and forecasters predict that there will not be snow in this game. Eli Manning is playing the best ball of his career this season with 3336 yards for 23 touchdowns. This will be a very close encounter coming down to a field goal win. Eli has a lot on his mind since this will be a QB’s game, the new vs the old, but I am possitive he can handle the pressure! With team mates like Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw combining for 140 yard average, this game should be a sinch for Eli Manning and the NY Giants.
I say take the 7 points and bet on the New York Giants !!

Click Here to bet on the New York Giants…

January 13, 2008
Texas Stadium, Irving, TX
4:30 PM ET on FOX

This sunday the NY Giants are set to play the Dallas Cowboys. Less than a moth ago ninety-nine percent of NFL fans would rather have bet the on the Cowboys passing and running game than the Giants offense. Tony Romo is forecasted for 35 more passing yards and is averaging 0.5 more TD passes. Eli Manning is also holding his own. The Giants combo of (RB) Brandon Jacobs and (RB) Ahmad Bradshaw are averaging 5 ypc for 115 yards. (RB) Marion Barber and (RB) Julius Jones who combine for 100 yards and just 4 ypc for the Cowboys rank lower than their Giants counter part. Terrell Owens playing in this game with be a big factor for the Cowboys win. Owens’ injury situation could have a big impact on the final outcome of this game and it appears that he will be handicapped to some extent for this matchup.  This game will definitely come down to the QBs and their passing game and the Cowboys are working with their star,(WR) Terrell Owens, at 50% strength. This will be a very close and well fought out battle but I think the NY Giants will pull it off with the extra 8 points in their favor.

This Sunday the bet is on the New York Giants +8 !!

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January 12, 2008
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
8:00 PM ET on CBS

Jacksonville’s performance last week is definitely reflected in this weekends line against the New England Patriots. Though the Jags fought and won a hard battle, they had lots of trouble moving the football. Their defense was not able to defend the pass. Hopefully the Jags will give up another 297 passing yards like the did last week for Big Roethlisberger. I think the two biggest obstacles standing in the way of 17-0 for New England will be the two headed monster running back duo, Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew.

The Pats are well rested after they earned a bye-week pass with the number one seed in the AFC. They don’t have any players recovering form injury so you can say that this is a pretty healthy team. With all players well rested and up to par they have been able to use the extra time for more practice and preparation. New England’s 36.8 ppg average this season set an NFL record. Their defense was almost as good allowing just 17.1 ppg average. Tom Brady and Randy Moss have had record breaking years and Wes Welker is a very nice addition to the team. Look for a very disciplined New England team this Sunday. I see a final score in this game as beings 35-17 New England.

This Saturday the bet is on the New England Patriots -13 !!

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We are down to the final 8 teams remaining of the NFL season as the Colts and the Chargers prepare to square off on Sunday in what is considered the easiest pick of the entire playoffs. The Colts have had a very good season fighting off injury after injury to still earn a first round Bye in the playoffs. Now they are being put to the test by the Chargers in the 2nd round of the NFL Playoffs. There are many reasons to jump on the Colts this Sunday. First off, Marvin Harrison is returning for the Colts at the WR position which has seen a lack of talent not hurt Peyton Manning too much. Manning threw 6 interceptions the last time these teams played a few weeks back in the regular season, and the Colts still should have won the game were it not for a Adam Vinatieri’s missed FG. The advantage of the offenses goes clearly to the Colts as Manning will look to set the record straight from the game a few weeks back.

The defenses seem to be fairly equal. The Chargers have had some play makers do just that in the last couple of weeks, and guys like Cromartie and Merriman have really hit their stride. They haven’t however seen a monster like this Indy offense who is prepared to put Harrison to good use because their is no offense in the entire NFL like a Colts offense with a healthy Marv. The Chargers may also be without their 2nd best offensive weapon in TE Antonio Gates. A good TE is the least talked about aspect that matters a lot to be a successful football team. Without Gates, Philip Rivers loses a big part of his game…it takes away that first check down option before he looks to dump off the ball to LT. Overall the difference is clear, the Colts are the defending Super Bowl Champions until someone states otherwise…the Chargers dont stand a chance this Sunday at Indianapolis.

This Sunday the bet is on the Indianapolis Colts -9 !!

Click Here to bet on the Indianapolis Colts…