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Toledo Rockets +5.5
Posted By o-m-i On 20th January 2008 @ 14:25 In Free Picks NCAA Hoops | Comments Disabled
Tue Jan 22 ‘08 7:00p
The Toledo Rockets have been a bad road team in recent years, but the Eastern Michigan Eagles are weak favorites, and this is a rare road site where Toledo has actually had some success.
The Rockets may be just 5-11 straight up including 0-10 on the road, but they are a more respectable 7-7 against the spread overall and 4-5 ATS on the road. More importantly, Toledo has a six-game winning streak in the head-to-head series with EMU, with two of those wins coming in this building. The Rockets won rather handily 66-56 here last season.
Eastern Michigan is just 6-10 overall including 3-3 at home, making them vulnerable giving this many points. They are outscoring their home opponents by a scant +1.5 points per game, not nearly enough to cover this spot, and they have been very erratic offensively while shooting just 41.4 percent from the field.
The bottom line here is as bad as Toledo has been on the road, we simply do not trust Eastern Michigan as a favorite and we would not be shocked if the Rockets post there first road win of the year tonight.
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