I really do not see the Hornets finishing first in the West. James would have to show his ability from the times in Toronto and previous spell in Houston in order to do so.  I think they will finish 4th – 6th place with around 30 losses. That means, they should do the second half of the season around 50% wins only. Hornets are a deceiving team. You look at player by player and you see a title contender, but if you look at the whole team, you don’t see nothing more than a first round team.

Spurs on the other hand should have a solid second half of the NBA season with anywhere between 55 - 57 wins. That should be enough for the home court advantage in the first round. They added Damon Stoudamire and later Kurt Thomas that should play today.

In the game today we should see Duncan dominating the boards and leading his team to victory. It is as simple as that. West or Chandler don’t stand a chance guarding him and even though with Parker out, I doubt that will stop the Spurs. In order for Hornets to win, they need a strong day from their Peja. I think that Popovich knows it as well and will put Bowen on him and tell him not to leave him alone for a second.

The handicap can always be an issue and 6 points handicap means that Spurs needs a solid win for us to cash in.
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Thursday Feb 14, 2008
10:00 PM EST
 

The Idaho Vandals may be just 5-17 straight up, but all five of those wins have come at home and they may have a surprise in store for the Fresno State Bulldogs tonight.

Fresno State had a losing 11-13 record as well, and they are just 2-9 SU on the road, making them a poor investment as road favorites. Fresno’s only two road wins have come against Division II Winston-Salem and against a Louisiana Tech team that is one of the very worst clubs in Division IA. Yes, the Billdogs squeaked out a 72-70 win here in Idaho last season, but they failed to cover that contest as road favorites, the exact same role they are in here.

Now the Vandals have lost four straight games, but three of those were on the road where they are 0-12 SU this year. They have been far more competitive at home, where they are actually outscoring their Division IA opponents by a scant +0.3 points per game. By comparison, Fresno State is being outscored by an average of -5.7 points per game on the road.

Idaho is now 3-1 against the spread in the last four head-to-head meetings including 2-0 at home, I expect the Vandals to build on that this evening.

Bet on Idaho +4…

The Washington Wizards have continued to play hard and be competitive despite being without Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler, while the Bulls have struggled at home this season.

Granted, the Wizards laid an egg at Houston vs. the Yao-less Rockets on Tuesday. They came the night after the upset to meet the red-hot New Orleans Hornets on the road.. The Wizards are still 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and they are now an excellent 17-12, 58.6 percent ATS on the road for the season.

Now the Bulls were playing better soon after their coaching change, but they are now just 4-6 straight up in their last 10 games, and they are returning from a 1-2 road trip where their only win was at Indiana, which was the easiest on the three opponents. Chicago is still a very disappointing 12-14 SU at home this year, and they are a money-burning 10-16 ATS in those games.

This is a revenge game for the Wizards, who lost outright at home to the Bulls as six-point favorites back in December.

This Friday night the bet is on the Washington Wizards +5!!

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February 3, 2008
University of Phoenix Stadium
Glendale, AZ
6:17 PM ET on FOX

The line for this game started extremely high. This is due to two reasons, the Patriots are very strong team and second the oddsmakers know that the “average Joe” bettor will be betting on the New England Patriots. This line should actually be New England -10 but was inflated by about 4 points at opening.

Yes, the Patriots are good, but don’t forget the Giants played them well in the Meadowlands and the Giants have been playing very well away from home. New England QB, Tom Brady, is also very questionable lately with his lower leg injury. The Giants will also be coming in with a ton of confidence after their NFC Championship win in the snowy confines of Lambeau field.

Don’t forget that the Patriots have not been blowing out opponents in the second half of the season like they were in the first. They might be 18-0, but they haven’t been destroying anybody.

The Patriots have been to 3 of the last 6 Super Bowls, and have won none of these by a larger margin than three points. I see the Patriots walking away as Super Bowl champs but I doubt they will cover the spread.

For Super Bowl Sunday February 3, 2008 the bet is on the NY GIANTS +14 !! Take as many points as you can get and run !!

Click here to bet on all games and view all lines and odds.

January 28, 2008
EnergySolutions Arena, Salt Lake City, UT
9:00 PM ET on NBA TV

The Jazz are a fantastic 18-3 at home this season while winning by an impressive average of +12.8 points per game. They are a sparkling 22-8-1 against the spread in their last 31 contests going back to last season. They have also won four straight and seven of their last nine and they have won eight straight at home.

The Spurs appeared to be in a spot to assert themselves on Saturday, as they figured to make a statement vs. a New Orleans Hornets team that owns the best record in the Western Conference. Instead, San Antonio scored a grand total of only 51 points over the last three quarters of a 102-78 blowout loss, the worst home loss of Tim Duncan’s career. They must now go on a long road trip as the rodeo comes to the Alamo Dome, and the Spurs have a losing 8-9 record away from home this season while going 6-11 against the spread.

I feel the home team will dominate yet another game and cover the spread by far!! This is a small price to pay for a team with the records that the Utah Jazz are boasting for this season.

This Monday night the bet is on the Utah Jazz -2 !!

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Tue Jan 22 ‘08 7:00p

The Toledo Rockets have been a bad road team in recent years, but the Eastern Michigan Eagles are weak favorites, and this is a rare road site where Toledo has actually had some success.

The Rockets may be just 5-11 straight up including 0-10 on the road, but they are a more respectable 7-7 against the spread overall and 4-5 ATS on the road. More importantly, Toledo has a six-game winning streak in the head-to-head series with EMU, with two of those wins coming in this building. The Rockets won rather handily 66-56 here last season.

Eastern Michigan is just 6-10 overall including 3-3 at home, making them vulnerable giving this many points. They are outscoring their home opponents by a scant +1.5 points per game, not nearly enough to cover this spot, and they have been very erratic offensively while shooting just 41.4 percent from the field.

The bottom line here is as bad as Toledo has been on the road, we simply do not trust Eastern Michigan as a favorite and we would not be shocked if the Rockets post there first road win of the year tonight.

Bet on Toledo+5.5…

January 20, 2008
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
3:00 PM ET on CBS

After Saturday’s 31-20 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars in the divisional title game, Tom Brady and team are headed to the AFC conference championship for the fifth time in seven seasons.

Brady set another individual record in his last game, throwing 26 completions in 28 attempts an NFL record 92.9 percent for regular-season and playoff games. He also threw three touchdown passes and racked up 262 yards, which may be bad news for Patriots fans considering New England is 0-5 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.But despite New England’s dominance on both sides of the ball, New England has dropped the cash in six of their last seven games, including last week’s playoff contest.

San Diego earned the right to play the Patriots by knocking off the Colts 28-24 Sunday at the RCA Dome as the double-digit underdogs. Despite having LaDainaian Tomlinson and Philip Rivers on the sideline, it was the Chargers eighth consecutive straight up win. They have managed to cover the spread in every game during the win streak. The Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.The Patriots beat the Chargers as the 3½–point favorites at home in Week 2, as Brady threw for 279 yards (25-of-31) and three touchdowns as New England reamed San Diego 38-14.

The over has cashed in the last four Patriots/Chargers games. New England has covered the spread in five of the last seven games between the two.This should be high-scoring game with the Patriots and Chargers playing for rights to appear in Super Bowl XLII.

The bet is on San Diego Chargers vs New England Patriots over 49 in this game!!

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January 20, 2008
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
6:30 PM ET on FOX

This Sunday the New York Giants are headed to cold Green Bay where they are set to face the Packers. It looks like it will be under 10 degrees on Sunday and forecasters predict that there will not be snow in this game. Eli Manning is playing the best ball of his career this season with 3336 yards for 23 touchdowns. This will be a very close encounter coming down to a field goal win. Eli has a lot on his mind since this will be a QB’s game, the new vs the old, but I am possitive he can handle the pressure! With team mates like Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw combining for 140 yard average, this game should be a sinch for Eli Manning and the NY Giants.
I say take the 7 points and bet on the New York Giants !!

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January 13, 2008
Texas Stadium, Irving, TX
4:30 PM ET on FOX

This sunday the NY Giants are set to play the Dallas Cowboys. Less than a moth ago ninety-nine percent of NFL fans would rather have bet the on the Cowboys passing and running game than the Giants offense. Tony Romo is forecasted for 35 more passing yards and is averaging 0.5 more TD passes. Eli Manning is also holding his own. The Giants combo of (RB) Brandon Jacobs and (RB) Ahmad Bradshaw are averaging 5 ypc for 115 yards. (RB) Marion Barber and (RB) Julius Jones who combine for 100 yards and just 4 ypc for the Cowboys rank lower than their Giants counter part. Terrell Owens playing in this game with be a big factor for the Cowboys win. Owens’ injury situation could have a big impact on the final outcome of this game and it appears that he will be handicapped to some extent for this matchup.  This game will definitely come down to the QBs and their passing game and the Cowboys are working with their star,(WR) Terrell Owens, at 50% strength. This will be a very close and well fought out battle but I think the NY Giants will pull it off with the extra 8 points in their favor.

This Sunday the bet is on the New York Giants +8 !!

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January 12, 2008
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
8:00 PM ET on CBS

Jacksonville’s performance last week is definitely reflected in this weekends line against the New England Patriots. Though the Jags fought and won a hard battle, they had lots of trouble moving the football. Their defense was not able to defend the pass. Hopefully the Jags will give up another 297 passing yards like the did last week for Big Roethlisberger. I think the two biggest obstacles standing in the way of 17-0 for New England will be the two headed monster running back duo, Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew.

The Pats are well rested after they earned a bye-week pass with the number one seed in the AFC. They don’t have any players recovering form injury so you can say that this is a pretty healthy team. With all players well rested and up to par they have been able to use the extra time for more practice and preparation. New England’s 36.8 ppg average this season set an NFL record. Their defense was almost as good allowing just 17.1 ppg average. Tom Brady and Randy Moss have had record breaking years and Wes Welker is a very nice addition to the team. Look for a very disciplined New England team this Sunday. I see a final score in this game as beings 35-17 New England.

This Saturday the bet is on the New England Patriots -13 !!

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