Thursday Feb 14, 2008
10:00 PM EST
 

The Idaho Vandals may be just 5-17 straight up, but all five of those wins have come at home and they may have a surprise in store for the Fresno State Bulldogs tonight.

Fresno State had a losing 11-13 record as well, and they are just 2-9 SU on the road, making them a poor investment as road favorites. Fresno’s only two road wins have come against Division II Winston-Salem and against a Louisiana Tech team that is one of the very worst clubs in Division IA. Yes, the Billdogs squeaked out a 72-70 win here in Idaho last season, but they failed to cover that contest as road favorites, the exact same role they are in here.

Now the Vandals have lost four straight games, but three of those were on the road where they are 0-12 SU this year. They have been far more competitive at home, where they are actually outscoring their Division IA opponents by a scant +0.3 points per game. By comparison, Fresno State is being outscored by an average of -5.7 points per game on the road.

Idaho is now 3-1 against the spread in the last four head-to-head meetings including 2-0 at home, I expect the Vandals to build on that this evening.

Bet on Idaho +4…

Im having a tough time trying to remember the last time the Red Wings lost five straight. Their problems are obvious. They’ve had trouble scoring all year (cashing less than 10% SOG, and just 10.7% of PPs) and now their defense and goal tending has gone south. In current five game skid, they’ve allowed 21 goals while netting just 11 themselves. Dallas has won four of five, three straight, scoring 21 goals times. The Stars are best defensive team in hockey. Key techs here are Stars 6-1 record after four plus goals while Wings are 0-6 after allowing four plus.

Look for Dallas at the best price you can get price!

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